Democrat Adam Hamilton narrowly leads Republican incumbent Roger Marshall 45% to 43% in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, according to a recent Emerson College poll.
Polling averages remain tight with RealClearPolling showing Marshall at 46% and Hamilton at 44.5%, prompting major handicappers to shift the race rating.
Political handicappers including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball moved the contest from Likely Republican to Lean Republican amid increased scrutiny.