NOAA Forecasts 90% Chance of Strong El Niño by 2027

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reports a 90% probability that a powerful El Niño event will intensify during late 2026 and early 2027.

Sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific have risen more than 2 degrees Celsius above normal, signaling a potential for a historic climate event.

Forecasters estimate a 69% chance that this El Niño could rival the strongest episodes recorded since 1950, with further updates expected in September.